Have you ever woken up and known, KNOWN, that you were going to have a bad day? Bush must feel like that today. His war is an horrifically unpopular shambles and has entirely consumed his presidency. His inability to effectively lead or even to adequately respond to the failures of that leadership have been partially responsible for his party’s loss of power, and he has been further weakened as a result. His public perception has gone from one of a strong wartime leader, to a mediocre Nixon/Johnson/Harding style legacy of corruption, ineffectual and irresponsible leadership, intellectual laziness, arrogance and, when confronted with these realities, pathetic defensive posturing. To wake up to all that on the morning of your State Of The Union address, the first you will give to a completely Democratic Congress, must be hard.
But to also see this:
Poll: Bush Approval Rating At New Low
Mr. Bush’s overall approval rating has fallen to just 28 percent, a new low, while more than twice as many (64 percent) disapprove of the way he’s handling his job.
Two-thirds of Americans remain opposed to the president’s plan for sending more than 20,000 additional U.S. troops to Iraq — roughly the same number as after Mr. Bush announced the plan. And 72 percent believe he should seek congressional approval for the troop increase.
That can’t help his morale. Especially since his address is to focus largely on domestic issues, onces his has been notoriously unsuccessful at selling, instead of Iraq, which is pretty much all anybody wants to hear him talk about.
The most recent Smoke Screen of the Moment will be twofold. First, he will call for a 20% reduction in Gasoline consumption, stressing tightened fuel standards for automobile manufacturers and will do a little more half-assed cheerleading for the hybrid car, both things he should have done years ago, neither of which he will actually do.
Next he will trot out this little nugget, which I will leave to Jim Rutenberg and Robert Pear of the NY Times to explain in their brilliant article. (italics mine):
Among Mr. Bush’s proposals would be a plan to help states provide health care coverage to people who lack insurance by diverting federal aid from hospitals, especially public institutions. The provision is likely to draw loud criticism from municipalities across the nation and will significantly affect the New York City Health and Hospitals Corporation, the nation’s largest municipal health care system.
The initial response to Mr. Bush’s health care plans has not been positive, on Capitol Hill or among constituencies including employers and labor unions.
Here is my favorite bit, it’s long but totally worth it:
This weekend, the administration sketched out a proposal under which people whose health care programs exceed a certain value would face a higher tax bill, with the revenue going to tax incentives to encourage the purchase of health coverage by lower-income people.
Labor leaders were outspoken in opposing the plan. “This is a wrongheaded, crazy proposal,†said Gerald M. Shea, assistant to the president of the A.F.L.-C.I.O. “It would throw into turmoil the employment-based system of health insurance, and it would impose a new tax on the middle class.â€
Several public health officials reacted with alarm to Mr. Bush’s plan to encourage states to take Medicaid money now earmarked for public hospitals and use it for state programs to cover the uninsured. The Bush administration proposes cutting Medicaid payments to public hospitals and other “safety net†providers by $3.9 billion over the next five years. Preliminary estimates suggest that 40 percent of the savings would come at the expense of the New York City Health and Hospitals Corporation, which operates 11 hospitals, 4 nursing homes and more than 80 community clinics.
Kenneth E. Raske, president of the Greater New York Hospital Association, called the proposal “an absolute disaster for New York.â€
Deborah Bachrach, a deputy commissioner in the New York State Health Department, said it would affect hospitals “that serve some of the lowest-income, most vulnerable patients.â€
Whatever. He will never, ever, get this passed. This is, like I said, smoke screen. It exists only to give the press something to talk about for a news cycle or two, other than the nightmarish situation in Iraq,and Bush’s upcoming, wildly unpopular Surge. The theme of the speech, in the words of White House Council Dan Bartlett, will be “divided government does not mean we cannot govern.â€
No explanation is given for Bush’s sudden interest in governing, though in my opinion the hour is a little late. Why start now?